| VLSI Research IC Forecast Scenarios | [1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| VLSI's | Electronics | Diff. | IC | IC | IC | Silicon | Rev. | Utliztn | IC Eq. | Diff. | VLSI's | Electronics | IC | IC Eq. | Silicon | Rev. | Utliztn | IC | IC | Diff. | ||||||||||||||||
| Current[2] | Mkt | Rate | Mkt | Mkt | Pricing | Used | Per SI | Rate | Mkt | Rate | Current[3] | Mkt | Mkt | Mkt | Used | Per SI | Rate | Mkt | Pricing | Rate | ||||||||||||||||
| Forecast | ($B) | (%) | ($B) | (BU) | ($ ASP) | (MSI) | ($/SI) | (%) | ($B) | (%) | Forecast | ($B) | ($B) | ($B) | (MSI) | ($/SI) | (%) | (BU) | ($ ASP) | (points) | ||||||||||||||||
| 2003 | 1106.2 | 12.7% | 140.0 | 90 | 1.55 | 4568 | 30.6 | 88% | 30.4 | 21.7% | 2003 | 7.4% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 14.9% | 1.0% | -1.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2004 | 1262.3 | 14.2% | 178.8 | 105 | 1.70 | 5217 | 34.3 | 90% | 46.8 | 26.2% | 2004 | 14.1% | 27.7% | 54.0% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 1366.3 | 14.1% | 192.8 | 116 | 1.66 | 5361 | 36.0 | 89% | 43.5 | 22.6% | 2005 | 8.2% | 7.8% | -7.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | -1.1% | 10.6% | -2.5% | -3.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2006 | 1463.3 | 14.3% | 209.5 | 137 | 1.53 | 5891 | 35.6 | 92% | 53.1 | 25.3% | 2006 | 7.1% | 8.7% | 22.3% | 9.9% | -1.1% | 3.1% | 18.1% | -8.0% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 1542.0 | 14.3% | 220.9 | 153 | 1.44 | 6382 | 34.6 | 90% | 56.6 | 25.6% | 2007 | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | -2.7% | -2.5% | 11.6% | -5.5% | 0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 1647.5 | 14.4% | 237.4 | 173 | 1.37 | 6793 | 35.0 | 89% | 60.8 | 25.6% | 2008 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 1.0% | -1.0% | 12.8% | -4.8% | 0.0 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 1798.3 | 14.4% | 259.1 | 194 | 1.34 | 7617 | 34.0 | 90% | 65.7 | 25.4% | 2009 | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | -2.7% | 1.0% | 12.1% | -2.7% | -0.2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 1878.8 | 13.9% | 260.9 | 210 | 1.24 | 8175 | 31.9 | 89% | 63.0 | 24.1% | 2010 | 4.5% | 0.7% | -4.2% | 7.3% | -6.2% | -1.0% | 8.4% | -7.1% | -1.2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 2019.8 | 14.1% | 284.9 | 239 | 1.19 | 8857 | 32.2 | 90% | 68.0 | 23.9% | 2011 | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 13.8% | -4.0% | -0.3 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 2178.8 | 14.1% | 307.6 | 267 | 1.15 | 9520 | 32.3 | 91% | 71.8 | 23.3% | 2012 | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 11.8% | -3.4% | -0.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| TCI | 71112 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last Update: | 22-Oct-07 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||