VLSI Research IC Forecast Scenarios  [1]                                                      
  VLSI's Electronics Diff. IC IC IC Silicon Rev. Utliztn IC Eq. Diff.   VLSI's Electronics IC IC Eq. Silicon Rev. Utliztn IC IC Diff.        
  Current[2] Mkt Rate Mkt Mkt Pricing Used Per SI Rate Mkt Rate   Current[3] Mkt Mkt Mkt Used Per SI Rate Mkt Pricing Rate        
  Forecast ($B) (%) ($B) (BU) ($ ASP) (MSI) ($/SI) (%) ($B) (%)   Forecast ($B) ($B) ($B) (MSI) ($/SI) (%) (BU) ($ ASP) (points)        
                     
  1995 777.2 16.2% 126.1 47 2.68 3375 37.4 94% 31.6 25.1%   Annual Growth        
  1996 832.8 13.8% 114.9 48 2.40 3601 31.9 87% 35.8 31.1%   1996 7.1% -8.8% 13.2% 6.7% -14.5% -7.1% 1.9% -10.5% 6.1        
  1997 892.2 13.4% 119.5 58 2.05 3930 30.4 86% 35.6 29.8%   1997 7.1% 4.0% -0.6% 9.1% -4.7% -1.7% 21.6% -14.5% -1.4        
  1998 945.0 11.5% 109.1 59 1.86 4157 26.2 80% 27.0 24.7%   1998 5.9% -8.8% -24.2% 5.8% -13.7% -6.9% 0.7% -9.3% -5.0        
  1999 1042.2 12.5% 130.2 68 1.91 4045 32.2 89% 32.6 25.1%   1999 10.3% 19.4% 20.9% -2.7% 22.7% 11.5% 16.0% 2.9% 0.3        
  2000 1188.6 14.9% 176.9 87 2.05 4407 40.2 96% 56.7 32.1%   2000 14.1% 35.9% 73.8% 8.9% 24.7% 7.6% 27.0% 7.0% 7.0        
  2001 1094.0 10.8% 118.5 69 1.73 3729 31.8 78% 36.3 30.7%   2001 -8.0% -33.0% -36.0% -15.4% -20.9% -19.1% -20.8% -15.5% -1.4        
  2002 1029.6 11.7% 120.5 79 1.53 4178 28.8 84% 27.4 22.7%   2002 -5.9% 1.7% -24.5% 12.0% -9.2% 8.7% 14.6% -11.2% -7.9        
  2003 1106.2 12.7% 140.0 90 1.55 4568 30.6 88% 30.4 21.7%   2003 7.4% 16.1% 10.9% 9.3% 6.2% 3.9% 14.9% 1.0% -1.0        
  2004 1262.3 14.2% 178.8 105 1.70 5217 34.3 90% 46.8 26.2%   2004 14.1% 27.7% 54.0% 14.2% 11.8% 3.1% 16.5% 9.6% 4.5        
  2005 1366.3 14.1% 192.8 116 1.66 5361 36.0 89% 43.5 22.6%   2005 8.2% 7.8% -7.1% 2.8% 5.0% -1.1% 10.6% -2.5% -3.6        
  2006 1463.3 14.3% 209.5 137 1.53 5891 35.6 92% 53.1 25.3%   2006 7.1% 8.7% 22.3% 9.9% -1.1% 3.1% 18.1% -8.0% 2.8        
  2007 1542.0 14.3% 220.9 153 1.44 6382 34.6 90% 56.6 25.6%   2007 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 8.3% -2.7% -2.5% 11.6% -5.5% 0.3        
  2008 1647.5 14.4% 237.4 173 1.37 6793 35.0 89% 60.8 25.6%   2008 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 6.5% 1.0% -1.0% 12.8% -4.8% 0.0        
  2009 1798.3 14.4% 259.1 194 1.34 7617 34.0 90% 65.7 25.4%   2009 9.2% 9.1% 8.2% 12.1% -2.7% 1.0% 12.1% -2.7% -0.2        
  2010 1878.8 13.9% 260.9 210 1.24 8175 31.9 89% 63.0 24.1%   2010 4.5% 0.7% -4.2% 7.3% -6.2% -1.0% 8.4% -7.1% -1.2        
  2011 2019.8 14.1% 284.9 239 1.19 8857 32.2 90% 68.0 23.9%   2011 7.5% 9.2% 8.0% 8.3% 0.8% 1.3% 13.8% -4.0% -0.3        
  2012 2178.8 14.1% 307.6 267 1.15 9520 32.3 91% 71.8 23.3%   2012 7.9% 8.0% 5.5% 7.5% 0.4% 1.0% 11.8% -3.4% -0.6        
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Copyright  2007 by VLSI Research Inc.  Source: WSTS & VLSI Research Inc
 
          TCI 71112  
        Last Update: 22-Oct-07  
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
         
             
             
         
         
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     
                     

[1]
Dan:
Based on our most current views. This may replace existing forecasts on our web site that were previously completed.


[2]
Dan:
Based on our most current views. This may replace existing forecasts on our web site that were previously completed.
[3]
Dan:
Based on our most current views. This may replace existing forecasts on our web site that were previously completed.